Atlas vs CD Guadalajara Predictions, betting odds, picks

Atlas vs CD Guadalajara Prediction

Atlas and Guadalajara have been involved in close encounters in recent encounters. Both teams have won twice in the last five encounters, and all games have been decided by a single goal.

Even in the first leg, Atlas took a 2-0 lead, but Guadalajara managed to defend and make it 2-1 in the second half. Another close match is scheduled for this weekend, and it should be entertaining as both sides won’t be looking to sit back and attack on the counter.

Although Atlas took the lead via Jeremy Márquez’s first-half brace, they were never in control of the game. Guadalajara enjoyed 60% of possession but just weren’t clinical enough in the game.

In the first half, Atlas managed to shoot three times and all of them were on target. Márquez scored twice on those shots, and that was enough for them to sit deep in the second half of the game.

After a disappointing first half, Guadalajara were determined to improve things. They only had one shot on target before the break but came out strong and salvaged an early goal. Cristian Calderón scored in the 54th minute, but that was it. They couldn’t get behind the Atlas defense and ended up losing 2-1. Miguel Ponce received a red card from the referee late in the game but VAR overturned the decision and he escaped with a yellow instead.

Atlas Finding results but not finding dominance

Atlas hasn’t been at his best lately, and that was the case again in the first leg of the quarter-finals. They were clinical enough to score twice in the first half which helped them sit up and defend for the rest of the game. However, they can’t afford to rely too heavily on such a strategy in a knockout game as Guadalajara have little to lose and will be firing all the guns this weekend.

Even in the league, Atlas were on a roll and were favorites to finish in the top 4. However, they had to fight their way to a 3rd place in the end due to poor results. They dropped seven points in their last four games of the season, which saw them finish just one point above the four teams, dropping from 4th to 7th place. At the same time, had they won those games, it would have helped them finish second in the standings as the Tigers were also consistently dropping points.

Their only loss in the last four matches came against Mazatlan – a side that managed to qualify for the playoffs with a win on the final day. If they had lost points against Atlas, Club Leon would have succeeded and Mazatlan would have finished 14th in the championship.

High and low season

Atlas didn’t have a great season overall as their only convincing win was against Toluca and Club America. These were the only games in which they managed to win by two or more goals, while all the others were won by a one-goal margin.

Even against Club America, the second goal in the 2-0 victory came with the final kick of the game. Diego Barbosa gave them the lead in the 70th minute and Jonathan Herrera scored the second with his first touch of the game. Federico Viñas was sent off for Club America in the 78th minute, and Atlas still sat and defended instead of going for another goal.

Atlas has weaknesses for Guadalajar to exploit

In the match against Toluca, they fell behind in the 4th minute. Valber Huerta scored for the home side but Aldo Rocha managed to put Atlas level in the 8th minute.

Julián Quiñones had his penalty saved just as half-time ended but scored on the rebound to give Atlas a 2-1 lead at the break. Julio Furch made it 3-1 just before the hour mark – the first time Atlas had scored 3 or more goals in the season!

They still couldn’t win the game comfortably as Isaias Violante scored with minutes remaining to make it 3-2 and give the game an exciting end. Julián Quiñones scored again in added time to calm nerves and give the away team a well-deserved 4-2 victory.

Injuries and suspensions

Atlas could be without two important players for the second leg this weekend. Anibal Chalá and Edgar Zaldívar went out injured in the first leg, forcing Diego Martin Cocca to make substitutions.

Guadalajara must channel their form as soon as the league phase ends

Guadalajara have done the impossible in the league season and won their last four games to finish in the top six this season. They finished level on points with 4th-placed Club America and missed out on automatic qualification for the quarter-finals on goal difference.

The four-game winning streak began with a 1-0 win over Cruz Azul thanks to a Cristian Calderón goal. They had Alexis Vega sent off with 20 minutes remaining but managed to hold on. Wins over Club Tijuana, Pumas UNAM and Club Necaxa followed, and they were able to qualify for the playoffs with ease.

Win at the right time

They swept past Pumas UNAM with ease in the playoffs and recorded a 4-1 win. Cristian Calderón gave them the lead in the 12th minute, but Diogo managed to level the teams 7 minutes later. Fernando Beltran, José Macías and Alexis Vega ensured there was no slippage and scored in the second to help Guadalajara through to the quarter-finals.

The home side were solid in defense and the goal they conceded in the playoffs was the only shot the Pumas managed to get throughout the game. The second half was one-sided as Guadalajara were on the attack throughout, and the Pumas couldn’t organize any counterattack. They got just two shots, and neither was on target, while the home side scored three times from their 5 shots on target.

Drawn against Atlas before

They would regret the draw against Toluca in early April as Leonardo Fernández scored from the final kick to take two points from them. Those two points would have seen them finish in the top 4 and help them advance directly to the quarter-finals.

It was the same when they also met Atlas in the league, as they drew 1-1, with Julián Quiñones scoring for the home side in the 90th minute.

Injuries and suspensions

Miguel Ponce was sent off in the second half by the referee, but VAR overturned the decision. They changed the red card to yellow and he is available for the second leg. The rest of the team is in good shape before the game.

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How to watch Atlas vs. CD Guadalajara

Information Atlas vs CD Guadalajara
Teams Atlas vs CD Guadalajara
Location Jalisco Stadium
Weather Sunday, May 15 at 7 p.m. EST
How to watch Univision TUDN and UniMas networks, ESPN Deportes, Telemundo and Fox Deportes

Jack L. Goldstein